Gold Fever at 1174.90 We’re Out with a Buy Stop in Case
It is a singularly notable event when the IMF decides to sell 403 tonnes of gold, one eighth of their reserves, 12,965,649 troy ounces (12 Roman uncia/ounces per pound) with India buying almost half.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troy_ounce
What frantic gold bull headlines luring lemmings to plunge do not disclose is that the IMF is selling gold accumulated since 1978 at much lower prices. Buy low and sell high makes money. Buy high and sell low does not.
http://www.imf.org/External/NP/EXR/faq/goldfaqs.htm
Despite mistakes made by Federal Reserve and Treasury Bankers at the expense of consumer citizens and taxpayers, not all investment bankers are fools.
This is why the Big4 are 170% short gold and 450% short silver. Are they really naked shorts when big banks can borrow all the money they want from the Fed?
http://www.cftc.gov/dea/options/other_lof.htm
So far, George Soros is the only person we know who broke the Bank of England with his reflexive trading after losing a lot trading against GS on 20 October 1987.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Soros
Now we have hysterical predictions of higher gold in 24 hours by professionals that often mark mania tops and career changes.
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/gold-set-hit-1200-within-24-hours
Even mass media headlines are ebullient, albeit hiding the fact the GLD holdings peaked out at 1134.03 tons last June 1st:
http://www.smh.com.au/action/printArticle?id=918781
Let us not forget China last Summer warned of defaulting on select underwater toxic commodity derivatives. This is hardly bullish for gold.
http://www.reuters.com/articlePrint?articleId=USTRE5801UT20090901










November 30th, 2009 at 8:03 pm
Possibly… I agree that near term, gold is more likely to decline than rise. Long term, I expect it to either hold steady or soar, depending on how chaotic things get.
Also, your blog doesn’t have an RSS feed! You really should consult Wordpress and make sure it has one, it’s the whole point of having a blog!
December 2nd, 2009 at 10:31 pm
We’ve added some easy-RSS buttons. Typically your web browser should also detect the presence of the RSS feed and give you an RSS icon in the right-hand side of your browser location bar.
In any case, you should be good to go now!
-mark
December 12th, 2009 at 12:01 am
Go to 1337.20 or 417.10? Wow. That is some analysis. Subscribe to his chatroom for a week and watch all the different numbers pop up for gold, anywhere from 0-3000. I followed his calls and went 0/10 before I said enough. Better off to randomly enter a trade with a stop.
December 12th, 2009 at 2:37 pm
First let me say, thank you very much for this outstanding synthesis of information. One other recommendation would be to add a previous or next page button or arrow to move from page 1,2,3,4,5,6 to add some convenience and flow.